7h. Annex tables (A1–A10)
Overview
This page assembles the annex tables of the policy report (A1–A10). It reuses CSVs that already exist in outputs/tables/ wherever possible; otherwise it rejoins / re-pivots them into print-ready form and writes the result to outputs/policy_report/tables/. The LaTeX build later picks each annex up from there.
| ID | Annex name | Source CSV(s) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| A1 | Construct reference card | rendered in 7b | Embedded |
| A2 | Short DisInforMeter item wording | rendered in 7b | Embedded |
| A3 | Sample composition by country | A-03_sample_composition_country.{html,tex} |
Embedded |
| A4 | Reliability and AVE by construct and study | A-04_reliability_ave.{html,tex} |
Embedded |
| A5 | Invariance ladders | A-05_invariance_ladders.{html,tex} |
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| A6 | Full structural path estimates | A-06_structural_paths.{html,tex} |
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| A7 | Full external anchor correlations | A-07_anchor_correlations.{html,tex} |
Embedded |
| A8 | S5 preregistered hypothesis verdicts | A-08_s5_verdicts.{html,tex} |
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| A9 | FIMI variant intercorrelations and reliability | A-09_fimi_variant_diagnostics{,_correlations,_reliability}.{html,tex} |
Embedded |
| A10 | Glossary | A-10_glossary.{html,tex} |
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Design source: docs/reports/2026-05-21_policy-report-content/02_figures-and-tables-spec.md annex section.
A3 — Sample composition by country
| Annex C — S4 sample composition by country | ||||||
| Per-country N, age distribution, gender, education, and daily-media use. Cluster column matches the four-cluster grouping used in the radar figures (F-16, F-22..F-28). | ||||||
| Country | Cluster | N | Age (mean, SD, range) | Gender | Education | Daily media use |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | Western | 599 | M = 45.6 (SD = 16.5) [24, 67] | F 51.8% / M 47.9% | Tertiary 28.2% / Vocational 42.9% / Lower 28.9% | 7.7% |
| Belgium | Western | 595 | M = 46.4 (SD = 15.7) [24, 67] | F 48.9% / M 51.1% | Tertiary 45.0% / Vocational 13.8% / Lower 41.2% | 10.4% |
| Bulgaria | Central-East | 592 | M = 43.8 (SD = 15.1) [24, 67] | F 54.2% / M 45.8% | Tertiary 44.8% / Vocational 22.3% / Lower 32.9% | 8.6% |
| Germany | Western | 598 | M = 45.8 (SD = 15.8) [24, 67] | F 50.0% / M 50.0% | Tertiary 36.6% / Vocational 46.3% / Lower 17.1% | 8.9% |
| Estonia | Baltic | 604 | M = 47.1 (SD = 15.9) [24, 67] | F 54.3% / M 45.4% | Tertiary 37.1% / Vocational 19.7% / Lower 43.2% | 4.8% |
| France | Western | 596 | M = 46.0 (SD = 15.4) [24, 67] | F 48.7% / M 51.0% | Tertiary 40.8% / Vocational 26.5% / Lower 32.7% | 6.0% |
| Hungary | Central-East | 599 | M = 44.0 (SD = 15.4) [24, 67] | F 52.3% / M 47.7% | Tertiary 23.9% / Vocational 25.5% / Lower 50.6% | 5.8% |
| Italy | Southern | 606 | M = 48.6 (SD = 15.0) [24, 67] | F 46.4% / M 53.6% | Tertiary 36.0% / Vocational 13.7% / Lower 50.3% | 11.2% |
| Lithuania | Baltic | 593 | M = 48.1 (SD = 15.9) [24, 67] | F 55.1% / M 44.2% | Tertiary 50.1% / Vocational 27.5% / Lower 22.4% | 7.4% |
| Latvia | Baltic | 596 | M = 47.9 (SD = 16.0) [24, 67] | F 55.7% / M 44.0% | Tertiary 38.3% / Vocational 34.7% / Lower 27.0% | 3.2% |
| Poland | Central-East | 600 | M = 42.6 (SD = 15.3) [24, 67] | F 53.5% / M 46.3% | Tertiary 31.5% / Vocational 10.7% / Lower 57.8% | 11.2% |
| Serbia | Southern | 606 | M = 43.5 (SD = 11.6) [24, 67] | F 67.7% / M 32.3% | Tertiary 52.6% / Vocational 13.9% / Lower 33.5% | 7.6% |
| Turkey | Southern | 599 | M = 41.8 (SD = 14.6) [24, 67] | F 47.2% / M 52.8% | Tertiary 56.1% / Vocational 20.0% / Lower 23.9% | 27.4% |
| Source: outputs/policy_report/tables/s4_sample_composition_by_country.csv. N = 7,783. Reproduction code: scripts/policy_report/A-03_sample_composition_country.R. | ||||||
A4 — Reliability and AVE by construct and study
| Annex D.1 — Reliability and AVE by construct and study | ||||||||
| Per (study × construct) row: number of items, sample size, Cronbach’s α, McDonald’s ω, average variance extracted (AVE), and the construct’s mean / SD on the response scale. | ||||||||
| Study | Construct | #items | N | α | ω | AVE | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S2 | ABAND | 3 | 582 | 0.796 | 0.798 | 0.565 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| S3 | ABAND | 3 | 782 | 0.819 | 0.822 | 0.597 | 3.72 | 1.73 |
| S4 | ABAND | 3 | 8,040 | 0.757 | 0.761 | 0.510 | 4.43 | 1.55 |
| S5 | ABAND | 8 | 248 | 0.870 | 0.872 | 0.364 | 3.11 | 1.19 |
| S1 | FEAR | 2 | 681 | 0.793 | 0.795 | 0.659 | 4.03 | 2.05 |
| S5 | FEAR | 6 | 248 | 0.834 | 0.839 | 0.525 | 4.50 | 1.34 |
| S1 | FIMI | 15 | 681 | 0.930 | 0.932 | 0.478 | 2.72 | 1.42 |
| S2 | FIMI | 8 | 582 | 0.779 | 0.786 | 0.319 | 5.22 | 1.11 |
| S3 | FIMI | 8 | 782 | 0.548 | 0.559 | 0.144 | 4.64 | 0.89 |
| S4 | FIMI | 8 | 8,040 | 0.690 | 0.694 | 0.226 | 4.86 | 0.99 |
| S4 | GEN | 5 | 8,040 | 0.627 | 0.649 | 0.311 | 4.05 | 1.16 |
| S5 | GEN | 8 | 248 | 0.570 | 0.656 | 0.278 | 3.16 | 0.78 |
| S2 | SUPF | 3 | 582 | 0.939 | 0.940 | 0.841 | 1.92 | 1.53 |
| S3 | SUPF | 3 | 782 | 0.875 | 0.896 | 0.764 | 2.36 | 1.63 |
| S1 | THREAT | 2 | 681 | 0.802 | 0.802 | 0.669 | 3.91 | 2.08 |
| S2 | THREAT | 3 | 582 | 0.729 | 0.739 | 0.471 | 4.05 | 1.63 |
| S3 | THREAT | 3 | 782 | 0.753 | 0.759 | 0.519 | 3.35 | 1.67 |
| S4 | THREAT | 2 | 8,040 | 0.531 | 0.536 | 0.386 | 4.40 | 1.65 |
| S5 | THREAT | 12 | 248 | 0.847 | 0.850 | 0.318 | 3.49 | 1.15 |
| Source: outputs/tables/scale_diagnostics_s1_s5.csv. N = 10,085. Reproduction code: scripts/policy_report/A-04_reliability_ave.R. | ||||||||
A5 — Invariance ladders
| Annex D.2 — Invariance ladders across S4 countries, S4 languages, S2-S3-S5 pooled, and the S2 ↔︎ S5 temporal contrast | |||||||||
| Configural → metric → scalar steps with ΔCFI and ΔRMSEA versus the previous step. ✓ = ΔCFI ≥ -0.010 (Cheung & Rensvold); ✗ = fails the threshold; — = baseline or test does not apply. | |||||||||
| Ladder | Construct | Step | CFI | TLI | RMSEA | SRMR | ΔCFI | ΔRMSEA | Passes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S4 country-level (full SEM, 13 countries) | NA | configural | 0.807 | 0.760 | 0.133 | 0.138 | — | — | ✓ |
| S4 country-level (full SEM, 13 countries) | NA | metric | 0.798 | 0.768 | 0.131 | 0.149 | −0.010 | −0.002 | ✓ |
| S4 country-level (full SEM, 13 countries) | NA | scalar | 0.772 | 0.758 | 0.134 | 0.152 | −0.026 | 0.003 | ✗ |
| S4 language-level (14 survey languages) | NA | configural | 0.807 | 0.759 | 0.133 | 0.138 | — | — | ✓ |
| S4 language-level (14 survey languages) | NA | metric | 0.796 | 0.765 | 0.131 | 0.149 | −0.011 | −0.002 | ✗ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | ABAND | configural -> metric | — | — | — | — | −0.005 | −0.024 | ✓ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | ABAND | metric -> scalar | — | — | — | — | −0.019 | −0.011 | ✗ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | ABAND | optimized configural -> optimized metric | — | — | — | — | 0.000 | −0.044 | ✓ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | FEAR | configural -> metric | — | — | — | — | −0.064 | −0.027 | ✗ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | FEAR | metric -> scalar | — | — | — | — | 0.058 | −0.068 | ✓ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | FEAR | optimized configural -> optimized metric | — | — | — | — | −0.004 | −0.026 | ✓ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | GEN | configural -> metric | — | — | — | — | 0.103 | −0.062 | ✓ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | GEN | metric -> scalar | — | — | — | — | −0.036 | −0.012 | ✗ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | GEN | optimized configural -> optimized metric | — | — | — | — | −0.002 | −0.095 | ✓ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | SUPF | configural -> metric | — | — | — | — | −0.013 | −0.024 | ✗ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | SUPF | metric -> scalar | — | — | — | — | −0.023 | −0.012 | ✗ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | SUPF | optimized configural -> optimized metric | — | — | — | — | −0.007 | −0.138 | ✓ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | THREAT | configural -> metric | — | — | — | — | −0.045 | 0.000 | ✗ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | THREAT | metric -> scalar | — | — | — | — | −0.036 | −0.002 | ✗ |
| S2-S3-S5 pooled higher-order | THREAT | optimized configural -> optimized metric | — | — | — | — | −0.001 | 0.007 | ✓ |
| S2 ↔︎ S5 Lithuania temporal | NA | configural | 0.849 | 0.774 | 0.138 | 0.116 | — | — | — |
| S2 ↔︎ S5 Lithuania temporal | NA | metric | 0.844 | 0.792 | 0.132 | 0.121 | −0.005 | −0.006 | — |
| S2 ↔︎ S5 Lithuania temporal | NA | scalar | 0.790 | 0.748 | 0.146 | 0.136 | −0.055 | 0.014 | — |
| Source: outputs/tables/s4_country_invariance.csv, outputs/tables/s4_language_invariance.csv, outputs/tables/higher_order_pooled_invariance_ladder_s2_s3_s5.csv, outputs/tables/s5_s2_invariance.csv. Reproduction code: scripts/policy_report/A-05_invariance_ladders.R. | |||||||||
A6 — Full structural path estimates
| Annex E.1 — Full structural path estimates | ||||||||||
| Standardised β coefficients from each higher-order DisInforMeter composite to each FIMI operationalisation. Per-study rows come from the canonical COMP family of prediction models (same filter as F-18); S4 rows reflect the overall structural model. ✓ marks paths with p < .05. | ||||||||||
| Study | FIMI version | Predictor | β (std) | SE | z | p | CI lower | CI upper | Sig | Block |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | Chinese FIMI | ABAND | 0.073 | 0.060 | 1.311 | 0.1899 | −0.039 | 0.198 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Chinese FIMI | FEAR | 0.163 | 0.086 | 2.061 | 0.0393 | 0.009 | 0.344 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S1 | Chinese FIMI | SUPF | 0.133 | 0.089 | 1.607 | 0.1080 | −0.031 | 0.318 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Chinese FIMI | THREAT | 0.079 | 0.100 | 0.860 | 0.3898 | −0.109 | 0.281 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Full FIMI | ABAND | 0.100 | 0.057 | 1.883 | 0.0597 | −0.004 | 0.220 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Full FIMI | FEAR | 0.142 | 0.080 | 1.916 | 0.0554 | −0.004 | 0.309 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Full FIMI | SUPF | 0.133 | 0.079 | 1.801 | 0.0717 | −0.013 | 0.298 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Full FIMI | THREAT | 0.071 | 0.092 | 0.823 | 0.4107 | −0.105 | 0.256 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Russian FIMI | ABAND | 0.109 | 0.058 | 2.027 | 0.0426 | 0.004 | 0.232 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S1 | Russian FIMI | FEAR | 0.134 | 0.081 | 1.781 | 0.0748 | −0.014 | 0.303 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Russian FIMI | SUPF | 0.139 | 0.080 | 1.882 | 0.0598 | −0.006 | 0.306 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Russian FIMI | THREAT | 0.066 | 0.094 | 0.754 | 0.4508 | −0.113 | 0.254 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Short FIMI | ABAND | 0.071 | 0.060 | 1.269 | 0.2043 | −0.041 | 0.192 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Short FIMI | FEAR | 0.167 | 0.086 | 2.081 | 0.0375 | 0.010 | 0.348 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S1 | Short FIMI | SUPF | 0.111 | 0.085 | 1.396 | 0.1628 | −0.048 | 0.286 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S1 | Short FIMI | THREAT | 0.079 | 0.098 | 0.863 | 0.3880 | −0.108 | 0.278 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Chinese FIMI | ABAND | −0.245 | 0.160 | −1.569 | 0.1166 | −0.563 | 0.062 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Chinese FIMI | FEAR | −0.139 | 0.073 | −1.935 | 0.0530 | −0.285 | 0.002 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Chinese FIMI | GEN | −0.020 | 0.121 | −0.170 | 0.8649 | −0.257 | 0.216 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Chinese FIMI | SUPF | 0.041 | 0.105 | 0.398 | 0.6905 | −0.164 | 0.248 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Chinese FIMI | THREAT | 0.299 | 0.157 | 1.943 | 0.0520 | −0.003 | 0.612 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Full FIMI | ABAND | −0.194 | 0.143 | −1.422 | 0.1551 | −0.484 | 0.077 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Full FIMI | FEAR | −0.211 | 0.074 | −2.988 | 0.0028 | −0.366 | −0.076 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S2 | Full FIMI | GEN | 0.196 | 0.115 | 1.780 | 0.0751 | −0.021 | 0.430 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Full FIMI | SUPF | −0.135 | 0.083 | −1.696 | 0.0899 | −0.305 | 0.022 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Full FIMI | THREAT | 0.173 | 0.131 | 1.383 | 0.1666 | −0.075 | 0.437 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Russian FIMI | ABAND | −0.127 | 0.142 | −0.951 | 0.3415 | −0.412 | 0.143 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Russian FIMI | FEAR | −0.197 | 0.070 | −2.993 | 0.0028 | −0.345 | −0.072 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S2 | Russian FIMI | GEN | 0.168 | 0.099 | 1.793 | 0.0730 | −0.017 | 0.372 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Russian FIMI | SUPF | −0.217 | 0.080 | −2.869 | 0.0041 | −0.387 | −0.073 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S2 | Russian FIMI | THREAT | 0.099 | 0.128 | 0.817 | 0.4139 | −0.147 | 0.357 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Short FIMI | ABAND | −0.246 | 0.162 | −1.594 | 0.1109 | −0.575 | 0.059 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Short FIMI | FEAR | −0.242 | 0.087 | −2.897 | 0.0038 | −0.425 | −0.082 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S2 | Short FIMI | GEN | 0.197 | 0.147 | 1.400 | 0.1614 | −0.083 | 0.495 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Short FIMI | SUPF | −0.084 | 0.098 | −0.897 | 0.3695 | −0.280 | 0.104 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S2 | Short FIMI | THREAT | 0.251 | 0.149 | 1.766 | 0.0774 | −0.029 | 0.555 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Chinese FIMI | ABAND | 0.434 | 0.449 | 0.985 | 0.3248 | −0.438 | 1.321 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Chinese FIMI | FEAR | −0.156 | 0.175 | −0.906 | 0.3647 | −0.501 | 0.184 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Chinese FIMI | GEN | 0.188 | 0.211 | 0.904 | 0.3659 | −0.223 | 0.605 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Chinese FIMI | SUPF | −0.092 | 0.122 | −0.770 | 0.4416 | −0.333 | 0.145 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Chinese FIMI | THREAT | −0.479 | 0.488 | −0.999 | 0.3176 | −1.445 | 0.469 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Full FIMI | ABAND | −0.260 | 0.415 | −0.633 | 0.5269 | −1.077 | 0.551 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Full FIMI | FEAR | 0.147 | 0.198 | 0.753 | 0.4516 | −0.239 | 0.537 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Full FIMI | GEN | −0.057 | 0.245 | −0.236 | 0.8136 | −0.538 | 0.423 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Full FIMI | SUPF | −0.118 | 0.169 | −0.704 | 0.4816 | −0.451 | 0.212 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Full FIMI | THREAT | 0.185 | 0.376 | 0.497 | 0.6194 | −0.551 | 0.925 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Russian FIMI | ABAND | −0.163 | 0.446 | −0.369 | 0.7118 | −1.038 | 0.709 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Russian FIMI | FEAR | 0.136 | 0.224 | 0.614 | 0.5391 | −0.301 | 0.576 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Russian FIMI | GEN | −0.020 | 0.284 | −0.071 | 0.9431 | −0.577 | 0.536 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Russian FIMI | SUPF | −0.155 | 0.195 | −0.809 | 0.4187 | −0.539 | 0.224 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Russian FIMI | THREAT | 0.104 | 0.400 | 0.262 | 0.7930 | −0.680 | 0.890 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Short FIMI | ABAND | −0.689 | 0.561 | −1.284 | 0.1991 | −1.821 | 0.380 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Short FIMI | FEAR | 0.404 | 0.254 | 1.660 | 0.0970 | −0.076 | 0.921 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Short FIMI | GEN | −0.093 | 0.297 | −0.327 | 0.7436 | −0.679 | 0.484 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Short FIMI | SUPF | −0.182 | 0.195 | −0.975 | 0.3298 | −0.572 | 0.192 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S3 | Short FIMI | THREAT | 0.548 | 0.494 | 1.163 | 0.2450 | −0.394 | 1.541 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S4 | Chinese FIMI | ABAND | 0.023 | 0.166 | 0.140 | 0.8887 | −0.302 | 0.348 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S4 | Chinese FIMI | FEAR | 0.137 | 0.030 | 4.641 | 0.0000 | 0.080 | 0.198 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Chinese FIMI | GEN | −0.066 | 0.044 | −1.507 | 0.1317 | −0.154 | 0.020 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S4 | Chinese FIMI | SUPF | 0.053 | 0.045 | 1.206 | 0.2278 | −0.034 | 0.142 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S4 | Chinese FIMI | THREAT | 0.027 | 0.184 | 0.148 | 0.8820 | −0.333 | 0.388 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S4 | Full FIMI | ABAND | −0.277 | 0.152 | −1.901 | 0.0573 | −0.587 | 0.009 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S4 | Full FIMI | FEAR | 0.173 | 0.026 | 7.023 | 0.0000 | 0.130 | 0.231 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Full FIMI | GEN | −0.068 | 0.036 | −1.967 | 0.0491 | −0.141 | 0.000 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Full FIMI | SUPF | −0.134 | 0.038 | −3.667 | 0.0002 | −0.214 | −0.065 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Full FIMI | THREAT | 0.317 | 0.169 | 1.960 | 0.0500 | 0.000 | 0.661 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S4 | Russian FIMI | ABAND | −0.317 | 0.159 | −2.111 | 0.0348 | −0.647 | −0.024 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Russian FIMI | FEAR | 0.186 | 0.027 | 7.360 | 0.0000 | 0.144 | 0.249 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Russian FIMI | GEN | −0.055 | 0.037 | −1.571 | 0.1162 | −0.131 | 0.014 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S4 | Russian FIMI | SUPF | −0.191 | 0.039 | −5.182 | 0.0000 | −0.278 | −0.126 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Russian FIMI | THREAT | 0.323 | 0.176 | 1.938 | 0.0526 | −0.004 | 0.686 | Per-study prediction (COMP family) | |
| S4 | Short FIMI | ABAND | −0.358 | 0.182 | −2.051 | 0.0403 | −0.731 | −0.017 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Short FIMI | FEAR | 0.158 | 0.030 | 5.475 | 0.0000 | 0.106 | 0.225 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Short FIMI | GEN | −0.088 | 0.042 | −2.187 | 0.0288 | −0.174 | −0.010 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Short FIMI | SUPF | −0.130 | 0.044 | −3.077 | 0.0021 | −0.223 | −0.050 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Short FIMI | THREAT | 0.415 | 0.203 | 2.141 | 0.0323 | 0.037 | 0.831 | ✓ | Per-study prediction (COMP family) |
| S4 | Chinese-origin FIMI (3 items) | ABAND | 0.027 | 0.165 | 0.165 | 0.8689 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Chinese-origin FIMI (3 items) | FEAR | 0.139 | 0.030 | 4.693 | 0.0000 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| S4 | Chinese-origin FIMI (3 items) | GEN | −0.052 | 0.054 | −0.979 | 0.3274 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Chinese-origin FIMI (3 items) | SUPF | 0.054 | 0.053 | 1.040 | 0.2986 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Chinese-origin FIMI (3 items) | SUPFCH | −0.015 | 0.033 | −0.452 | 0.6510 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Chinese-origin FIMI (3 items) | THREAT | 0.022 | 0.183 | 0.122 | 0.9031 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Full FIMI (8 items) | ABAND | −0.275 | 0.152 | −1.890 | 0.0587 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Full FIMI (8 items) | FEAR | 0.172 | 0.026 | 6.949 | 0.0000 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| S4 | Full FIMI (8 items) | GEN | −0.070 | 0.044 | −1.661 | 0.0967 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Full FIMI (8 items) | SUPF | −0.164 | 0.044 | −3.920 | 0.0001 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| S4 | Full FIMI (8 items) | SUPFCH | 0.044 | 0.026 | 1.782 | 0.0748 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Full FIMI (8 items) | THREAT | 0.316 | 0.168 | 1.961 | 0.0499 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| S4 | Russian-origin FIMI (5 items) | ABAND | −0.317 | 0.159 | −2.110 | 0.0348 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| S4 | Russian-origin FIMI (5 items) | FEAR | 0.184 | 0.027 | 7.228 | 0.0000 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| S4 | Russian-origin FIMI (5 items) | GEN | −0.060 | 0.045 | −1.408 | 0.1591 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Russian-origin FIMI (5 items) | SUPF | −0.232 | 0.045 | −5.469 | 0.0000 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| S4 | Russian-origin FIMI (5 items) | SUPFCH | 0.061 | 0.027 | 2.382 | 0.0172 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| S4 | Russian-origin FIMI (5 items) | THREAT | 0.324 | 0.176 | 1.949 | 0.0513 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Short FIMI (4 items) | ABAND | −0.353 | 0.181 | −2.034 | 0.0420 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| S4 | Short FIMI (4 items) | FEAR | 0.158 | 0.030 | 5.441 | 0.0000 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| S4 | Short FIMI (4 items) | GEN | −0.093 | 0.051 | −1.892 | 0.0585 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Short FIMI (4 items) | SUPF | −0.149 | 0.051 | −3.046 | 0.0023 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| S4 | Short FIMI (4 items) | SUPFCH | 0.031 | 0.031 | 1.057 | 0.2904 | — | — | S4 overall structural | |
| S4 | Short FIMI (4 items) | THREAT | 0.411 | 0.201 | 2.137 | 0.0326 | — | — | ✓ | S4 overall structural |
| Source: outputs/tables/fimi_prediction_paths.csv (COMP family) plus outputs/tables/s4_fimi_paths.csv. Reproduction code: scripts/policy_report/A-06_structural_paths.R. | ||||||||||
A7 — Full external anchor correlations
| Annex E.2 — Full external anchor correlations | ||||||
| Pearson correlations between DisInforMeter constructs and external civic anchors (Eurobarometer-style indicators). Significance asterisks reflect the FDR-adjusted p (Benjamini–Hochberg): * p < .05, ** p < .01, *** p < .001. | ||||||
| Predictor | Anchor | Family | N | r (pooled) | p (FDR) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABAND | Institutional trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.410 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | External political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.283 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Life satisfaction | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.253 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | EU support | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.197 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Religiosity | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.164 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Generalised social trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.153 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Democracy importance | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.059 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Political interest | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.017 | 0.7077 | |
| ABAND | Internal political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.008 | 0.0108 | * |
| ABAND | Left-right self-placement | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.007 | 0.0013 | ** |
| FEAR | Democracy importance | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.151 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Religiosity | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.111 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | External political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.071 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Internal political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.067 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Left-right self-placement | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.054 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | EU support | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.039 | 0.0010 | ** |
| FEAR | Life satisfaction | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.033 | 0.0009 | *** |
| FEAR | Political interest | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.033 | 0.0020 | ** |
| FEAR | Generalised social trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.030 | 0.0158 | * |
| FEAR | Institutional trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.005 | 0.8823 | |
| GEN | Institutional trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.228 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Religiosity | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.215 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | EU support | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.152 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | External political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.125 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Life satisfaction | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.083 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Democracy importance | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.062 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Internal political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.058 | 0.0001 | *** |
| GEN | Left-right self-placement | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.056 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Generalised social trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.036 | 0.8853 | |
| GEN | Political interest | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.018 | 0.0089 | ** |
| SUPF | Religiosity | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.276 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Democracy importance | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.246 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Internal political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.155 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | EU support | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.135 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Institutional trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.126 | 0.0026 | ** |
| SUPF | Left-right self-placement | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.122 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Generalised social trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.095 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Life satisfaction | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.023 | 0.0003 | *** |
| SUPF | External political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.023 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Political interest | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.007 | 0.1045 | |
| SUPFCH | Religiosity | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.225 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Internal political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.179 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Democracy importance | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.165 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Generalised social trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.141 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Left-right self-placement | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.101 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Political interest | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.075 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | External political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.070 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | EU support | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.034 | 0.1677 | |
| SUPFCH | Life satisfaction | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.013 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Institutional trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.006 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Institutional trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.272 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | EU support | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.247 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Left-right self-placement | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.229 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Religiosity | Civic / political | 8,040 | 0.221 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | External political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.156 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Generalised social trust | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.127 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Life satisfaction | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.115 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Political interest | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.031 | 0.0001 | *** |
| THREAT | Democracy importance | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.020 | 0.0676 | |
| THREAT | Internal political efficacy | Civic / political | 8,040 | −0.018 | 0.0895 | |
| ABAND | Foreign-actor topic salience | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.330 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Perceived misinfo creators | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.327 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Perceived misinfo impact | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.177 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Misinfo seen as political | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.116 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Responsibility for prevention | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.094 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Confidence detecting misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.042 | 0.0003 | *** |
| ABAND | Pro-regulation of misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.013 | 0.5842 | |
| FEAR | Responsibility for prevention | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.276 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Perceived misinfo impact | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.255 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Perceived misinfo creators | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.206 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Pro-regulation of misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.194 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Foreign-actor topic salience | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.176 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Misinfo seen as political | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.106 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Confidence detecting misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.045 | 0.0002 | *** |
| GEN | Foreign-actor topic salience | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.309 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Perceived misinfo creators | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.299 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Perceived misinfo impact | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.201 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Misinfo seen as political | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.103 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Responsibility for prevention | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.085 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Confidence detecting misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.074 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Pro-regulation of misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.036 | 0.0034 | ** |
| SUPF | Foreign-actor topic salience | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.191 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Responsibility for prevention | Misinformation | 8,040 | −0.107 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Perceived misinfo creators | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.090 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Pro-regulation of misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | −0.084 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Perceived misinfo impact | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.037 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Misinfo seen as political | Misinformation | 8,040 | −0.019 | 0.0616 | |
| SUPF | Confidence detecting misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.017 | 0.0302 | * |
| SUPFCH | Foreign-actor topic salience | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.159 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Perceived misinfo creators | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.088 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Perceived misinfo impact | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.077 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Confidence detecting misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.043 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Responsibility for prevention | Misinformation | 8,040 | −0.040 | 0.0010 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Pro-regulation of misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | −0.040 | 0.0001 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Misinfo seen as political | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.016 | 0.1649 | |
| THREAT | Perceived misinfo creators | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.321 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Foreign-actor topic salience | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.304 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Perceived misinfo impact | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.187 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Responsibility for prevention | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.140 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Misinfo seen as political | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.134 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Confidence detecting misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.047 | 0.0002 | *** |
| THREAT | Pro-regulation of misinfo | Misinformation | 8,040 | 0.045 | 0.0001 | *** |
| ABAND | Frequency of seeing manipulated news | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | −0.256 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Non-electoral participation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | 0.112 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Voted in last national election | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 7,912 | −0.080 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Reactions to suspected misinformation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | 0.023 | 0.2989 | |
| FEAR | Frequency of seeing manipulated news | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | −0.104 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Reactions to suspected misinformation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | 0.058 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Voted in last national election | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 7,912 | 0.034 | 0.0024 | ** |
| FEAR | Non-electoral participation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | −0.023 | 0.0820 | |
| GEN | Frequency of seeing manipulated news | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | −0.245 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Non-electoral participation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | 0.094 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | Voted in last national election | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 7,912 | −0.056 | 0.0004 | *** |
| GEN | Reactions to suspected misinformation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | 0.036 | 0.0019 | ** |
| SUPF | Frequency of seeing manipulated news | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | −0.159 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Voted in last national election | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 7,912 | −0.088 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Non-electoral participation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | 0.066 | 0.0002 | *** |
| SUPF | Reactions to suspected misinformation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | −0.040 | 0.0007 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Frequency of seeing manipulated news | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | −0.164 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Non-electoral participation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | 0.068 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Voted in last national election | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 7,912 | −0.045 | 0.0435 | * |
| SUPFCH | Reactions to suspected misinformation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | 0.001 | 0.9165 | |
| THREAT | Frequency of seeing manipulated news | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | −0.245 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Voted in last national election | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 7,912 | −0.024 | 0.0759 | |
| THREAT | Reactions to suspected misinformation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | 0.022 | 0.6356 | |
| THREAT | Non-electoral participation (count) | Prereg #8 behavioural / participation | 8,040 | −0.019 | 0.0045 | ** |
| ABAND | Belief others try to be fair | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | −0.164 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | Belief others try to be helpful | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | −0.132 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | Belief others try to be fair | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | −0.034 | 0.0105 | * |
| FEAR | Belief others try to be helpful | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | −0.031 | 0.0183 | * |
| GEN | Belief others try to be fair | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | −0.069 | 0.0106 | * |
| GEN | Belief others try to be helpful | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | −0.036 | 0.5716 | |
| SUPF | Belief others try to be helpful | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | 0.085 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | Belief others try to be fair | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | 0.026 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Belief others try to be helpful | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | 0.120 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | Belief others try to be fair | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | 0.069 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Belief others try to be fair | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | −0.140 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | Belief others try to be helpful | Prereg #8 convergent fairness / helpfulness | 8,040 | −0.100 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | News use — social media / podcasts | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.222 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | News use — messaging apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.181 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | News use — aggregate | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.129 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | News use — TV / radio | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | −0.053 | 0.0000 | *** |
| ABAND | News use — print | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.028 | 0.0075 | ** |
| ABAND | News use — online news / apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.004 | 0.6165 | |
| FEAR | News use — aggregate | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.195 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | News use — TV / radio | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.171 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | News use — messaging apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.134 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | News use — social media / podcasts | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.105 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | News use — online news / apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.102 | 0.0000 | *** |
| FEAR | News use — print | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.098 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | News use — social media / podcasts | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.222 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | News use — messaging apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.179 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | News use — aggregate | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.145 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | News use — print | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.050 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | News use — TV / radio | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | −0.045 | 0.0000 | *** |
| GEN | News use — online news / apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.026 | 0.0008 | *** |
| SUPF | News use — social media / podcasts | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.207 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | News use — messaging apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.201 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | News use — aggregate | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.135 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | News use — print | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.108 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | News use — TV / radio | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | −0.081 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPF | News use — online news / apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | −0.035 | 0.0738 | |
| SUPFCH | News use — messaging apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.198 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | News use — social media / podcasts | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.185 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | News use — aggregate | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.163 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | News use — print | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.113 | 0.0000 | *** |
| SUPFCH | News use — TV / radio | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | −0.036 | 0.0007 | *** |
| SUPFCH | News use — online news / apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.033 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | News use — aggregate | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.144 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | News use — messaging apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.141 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | News use — social media / podcasts | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.118 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | News use — TV / radio | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.076 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | News use — print | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.076 | 0.0000 | *** |
| THREAT | News use — online news / apps | Prereg #8 media-channel use | 8,040 | 0.030 | 0.0086 | ** |
| Source: outputs/tables/s4_external_anchor_correlations.csv (pooled r, FDR-adjusted p, ranked by |r|). N = 8,040. Reproduction code: scripts/policy_report/A-07_anchor_correlations.R. | ||||||
A8 — S5 preregistered hypothesis verdicts
| Annex E.3 — S5 preregistered hypothesis verdicts | |||||||
| Each row is a preregistered convergent / discriminant test between a DisInforMeter construct and an external validation instrument. Verdicts are computed from observed r, the two one-sided tests (TOST) for equivalence, and the preregistered region of practical equivalence. | |||||||
| Construct | Validation instrument | Hypothesised sign | N | r | 95 % CI | p (two-sided) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abandoned [general] | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - Local Authorities | - | 248 | -0.42 | [-0.52, -0.31] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Abandoned [general] | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - Local Authorities | - | 248 | -0.42 | [-0.52, -0.31] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Abandoned [general] | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.31 | [0.19, 0.42] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Abandoned [general] | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.29 | [0.17, 0.40] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Abandoned [general] | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | + | 247 | 0.11 | [-0.01, 0.24] | 0.0723 | confirmed |
| Abandoned [general] | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.31 | [-0.42, -0.19] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Abandoned [general] | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.35 | [-0.46, -0.24] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Abandoned by media (censorship) | Conspiracy Mentality Questionnaire (CMQ; 5-item) | + | 248 | 0.45 | [0.35, 0.55] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Abandoned by media (censorship) | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - Local Authorities | - | 248 | -0.40 | [-0.50, -0.28] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Abandoned by media (censorship) | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.27 | [0.15, 0.38] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Abandoned by media (censorship) | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.21 | [0.09, 0.33] | 0.0007 | confirmed |
| Abandoned by media (censorship) | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 248 | 0.12 | [-0.00, 0.25] | 0.0501 | equivalence_supported |
| Abandoned by media (censorship) | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 247 | 0.01 | [-0.11, 0.14] | 0.8495 | equivalence_supported |
| Abandoned by own state | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - Local Authorities | - | 248 | -0.41 | [-0.51, -0.30] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Abandoned by own state | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.12 | [-0.01, 0.24] | 0.0612 | confirmed |
| Abandoned by own state | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 248 | 0.07 | [-0.06, 0.19] | 0.2880 | equivalence_supported |
| Abandoned by own state | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 247 | 0.17 | [0.05, 0.29] | 0.0060 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Exploitation | Conspiracy Mentality Questionnaire (CMQ; 5-item) | + | 248 | 0.38 | [0.27, 0.48] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Exploitation | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - EU | - | 248 | -0.25 | [-0.36, -0.12] | 0.0001 | confirmed |
| Exploitation | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - United Nations | - | 248 | -0.16 | [-0.28, -0.04] | 0.0096 | confirmed |
| Exploitation | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - Immigrants | + | 248 | 0.42 | [0.31, 0.52] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Exploitation | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - Immigrants | + | 248 | 0.41 | [0.30, 0.51] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Exploitation | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - LQBT | + | 248 | 0.43 | [0.32, 0.52] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Exploitation | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - LQBT | + | 248 | 0.29 | [0.17, 0.40] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Exploitation | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.22 | [0.10, 0.33] | 0.0006 | confirmed |
| Exploitation | Right Wing Authoritarianism (RWA short scale) | + | 248 | 0.49 | [0.39, 0.58] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Exploitation | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 248 | 0.11 | [-0.02, 0.23] | 0.0859 | equivalence_supported |
| Exploitation | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 247 | 0.09 | [-0.03, 0.21] | 0.1516 | equivalence_supported |
| Exploitation | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.38 | [-0.48, -0.26] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Exploitation | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.30 | [-0.41, -0.19] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Fear [general] | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - Local Authorities | - | 248 | -0.07 | [-0.20, 0.05] | 0.2478 | inconclusive |
| Fear [general] | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - Immigrants | 0 | 248 | 0.09 | [-0.03, 0.21] | 0.1482 | equivalence_supported |
| Fear [general] | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - LQBT | 0 | 248 | 0.12 | [-0.00, 0.24] | 0.0548 | equivalence_supported |
| Fear [general] | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.10 | [-0.02, 0.23] | 0.1028 | inconclusive |
| Fear [general] | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | + | 247 | 0.26 | [0.14, 0.37] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Fear [general] | feeling thermometer - China | u | 247 | 0.01 | [-0.12, 0.13] | 0.9086 | disconfirmed |
| Fear [general] | feeling thermometer - Russia | u | 247 | 0.12 | [-0.00, 0.24] | 0.0573 | disconfirmed |
| General | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - EU | - | 248 | -0.11 | [-0.23, 0.02] | 0.0964 | confirmed |
| General | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - EU | - | 248 | -0.11 | [-0.23, 0.01] | 0.0743 | confirmed |
| General | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - Local Authorities | - | 248 | -0.18 | [-0.30, -0.06] | 0.0040 | confirmed |
| General | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - Local Authorities | - | 248 | -0.16 | [-0.28, -0.04] | 0.0094 | confirmed |
| General | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - United Nations | - | 248 | -0.04 | [-0.16, 0.09] | 0.5398 | inconclusive |
| General | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - United Nations | - | 248 | -0.13 | [-0.25, -0.00] | 0.0456 | confirmed |
| General | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | + | 247 | 0.10 | [-0.03, 0.22] | 0.1202 | inconclusive |
| General | feeling thermometer - China | + | 247 | 0.44 | [0.33, 0.54] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| General | feeling thermometer - China | + | 247 | 0.34 | [0.22, 0.44] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| General | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.13 | [-0.25, -0.00] | 0.0416 | confirmed |
| General | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.03 | [-0.15, 0.10] | 0.6620 | inconclusive |
| General | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.17 | [-0.29, -0.04] | 0.0078 | confirmed |
| General | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.12 | [-0.24, 0.00] | 0.0578 | confirmed |
| General | feeling thermometer - Russia | + | 247 | 0.34 | [0.22, 0.44] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| General | feeling thermometer - Russia | + | 247 | 0.61 | [0.53, 0.69] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Immigration | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - EU | - | 248 | -0.16 | [-0.28, -0.04] | 0.0092 | confirmed |
| Immigration | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - United Nations | - | 248 | -0.07 | [-0.20, 0.05] | 0.2485 | inconclusive |
| Immigration | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - Immigrants | + | 248 | 0.75 | [0.69, 0.80] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Immigration | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - LQBT | 0 | 248 | 0.43 | [0.32, 0.53] | 0.0000 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Immigration | Right Wing Authoritarianism (RWA short scale) | + | 248 | 0.29 | [0.17, 0.40] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Immigration | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 248 | 0.02 | [-0.11, 0.14] | 0.7717 | equivalence_supported |
| Immigration | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 247 | -0.04 | [-0.17, 0.08] | 0.5126 | equivalence_supported |
| Poisonous ethnocentrism | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - EU | + | 248 | -0.14 | [-0.26, -0.02] | 0.0280 | disconfirmed |
| Poisonous ethnocentrism | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - Local Authorities | + | 248 | -0.03 | [-0.15, 0.10] | 0.6623 | disconfirmed |
| Poisonous ethnocentrism | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - United Nations | + | 248 | -0.09 | [-0.21, 0.03] | 0.1470 | disconfirmed |
| Poisonous ethnocentrism | Right Wing Authoritarianism (RWA short scale) | + | 248 | 0.40 | [0.29, 0.50] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Poisonous ethnocentrism | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 248 | 0.12 | [-0.00, 0.24] | 0.0558 | equivalence_supported |
| Poisonous ethnocentrism | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 247 | -0.06 | [-0.19, 0.06] | 0.3153 | equivalence_supported |
| Poisonous ethnocentrism | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.15 | [-0.27, -0.03] | 0.0170 | confirmed |
| Poisonous ethnocentrism | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.06 | [-0.19, 0.06] | 0.3150 | inconclusive |
| Pragmatism China | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - EU | - | 248 | -0.20 | [-0.32, -0.08] | 0.0017 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism China | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - EU | - | 248 | -0.10 | [-0.22, 0.03] | 0.1256 | inconclusive |
| Pragmatism China | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - Local Authorities | - | 248 | -0.21 | [-0.33, -0.09] | 0.0007 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism China | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - United Nations | - | 248 | -0.12 | [-0.24, 0.00] | 0.0569 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism China | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - United Nations | - | 248 | -0.02 | [-0.14, 0.10] | 0.7557 | inconclusive |
| Pragmatism China | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.12 | [-0.01, 0.24] | 0.0619 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism China | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 248 | 0.11 | [-0.02, 0.23] | 0.0885 | equivalence_supported |
| Pragmatism China | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 247 | -0.05 | [-0.17, 0.08] | 0.4436 | equivalence_supported |
| Pragmatism China | feeling thermometer - China | + | 247 | 0.48 | [0.38, 0.57] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism China | feeling thermometer - China | u | 247 | 0.48 | [0.38, 0.57] | 0.0000 | disconfirmed |
| Pragmatism China | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.34 | [-0.45, -0.23] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism China | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.11 | [-0.23, 0.01] | 0.0810 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism China | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.32 | [-0.42, -0.20] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism China | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.13 | [-0.25, -0.01] | 0.0411 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism China | feeling thermometer - Russia | 0 | 247 | 0.37 | [0.26, 0.47] | 0.0000 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Pragmatism Russia | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - EU | - | 248 | -0.18 | [-0.30, -0.06] | 0.0040 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism Russia | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - EU | - | 248 | -0.10 | [-0.22, 0.03] | 0.1256 | inconclusive |
| Pragmatism Russia | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - Local Authorities | - | 248 | -0.19 | [-0.30, -0.06] | 0.0034 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism Russia | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - United Nations | - | 248 | -0.06 | [-0.18, 0.07] | 0.3659 | inconclusive |
| Pragmatism Russia | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - United Nations | - | 248 | -0.02 | [-0.14, 0.10] | 0.7557 | inconclusive |
| Pragmatism Russia | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - Immigrants | 0 | 248 | 0.18 | [0.05, 0.30] | 0.0050 | equivalence_supported |
| Pragmatism Russia | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - LQBT | 0 | 248 | 0.58 | [0.49, 0.66] | 0.0000 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Pragmatism Russia | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.06 | [-0.07, 0.18] | 0.3573 | inconclusive |
| Pragmatism Russia | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 248 | 0.15 | [0.03, 0.27] | 0.0154 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Pragmatism Russia | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 247 | -0.07 | [-0.19, 0.06] | 0.2996 | equivalence_supported |
| Pragmatism Russia | feeling thermometer - China | 0 | 247 | 0.41 | [0.30, 0.51] | 0.0000 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Pragmatism Russia | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.24 | [-0.35, -0.11] | 0.0002 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism Russia | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.11 | [-0.23, 0.01] | 0.0810 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism Russia | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.24 | [-0.36, -0.12] | 0.0001 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism Russia | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.13 | [-0.25, -0.01] | 0.0411 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism Russia | feeling thermometer - Russia | + | 247 | 0.56 | [0.47, 0.64] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Pragmatism Russia | feeling thermometer - Russia | u | 247 | 0.56 | [0.47, 0.64] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Queer Sentiment | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - Immigrants | 0 | 248 | 0.46 | [0.36, 0.56] | 0.0000 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Queer Sentiment | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - LQBT | + | 248 | 0.90 | [0.87, 0.92] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Queer Sentiment | Right Wing Authoritarianism (RWA short scale) | + | 248 | 0.51 | [0.42, 0.60] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Queer Sentiment | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 248 | 0.18 | [0.06, 0.30] | 0.0036 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Queer Sentiment | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 247 | -0.13 | [-0.25, -0.01] | 0.0386 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Queer Sentiment | feeling thermometer - Russia | + | 247 | 0.38 | [0.27, 0.48] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Queer Sentiment | feeling thermometer - Russia | + | 247 | 0.42 | [0.31, 0.52] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Superiority China | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - Immigrants | 0 | 248 | 0.12 | [-0.01, 0.24] | 0.0620 | equivalence_supported |
| Superiority China | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.07 | [-0.06, 0.19] | 0.3055 | inconclusive |
| Superiority China | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.04 | [-0.08, 0.17] | 0.5027 | inconclusive |
| Superiority China | Right Wing Authoritarianism (RWA short scale) | + | 248 | 0.31 | [0.19, 0.41] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Superiority China | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 248 | 0.14 | [0.01, 0.26] | 0.0302 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Superiority China | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 247 | 0.00 | [-0.12, 0.13] | 0.9447 | equivalence_supported |
| Superiority China | feeling thermometer - China | + | 247 | 0.62 | [0.53, 0.69] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Superiority China | feeling thermometer - Russia | 0 | 247 | 0.39 | [0.27, 0.49] | 0.0000 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Superiority Russia | Conspiracy Mentality Questionnaire (CMQ; 5-item) | + | 248 | 0.32 | [0.20, 0.43] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Superiority Russia | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - LQBT | + | 248 | 0.49 | [0.39, 0.58] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Superiority Russia | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - LQBT | + | 248 | 0.46 | [0.36, 0.55] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Superiority Russia | Populist attitudes scale (Silva, 2017) | + | 248 | 0.05 | [-0.07, 0.17] | 0.4300 | inconclusive |
| Superiority Russia | Right Wing Authoritarianism (RWA short scale) | + | 248 | 0.45 | [0.34, 0.54] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Superiority Russia | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 248 | 0.17 | [0.05, 0.29] | 0.0065 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Superiority Russia | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 247 | -0.03 | [-0.15, 0.10] | 0.6766 | equivalence_supported |
| Superiority Russia | feeling thermometer - China | 0 | 247 | 0.54 | [0.44, 0.62] | 0.0000 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Superiority Russia | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.24 | [-0.36, -0.12] | 0.0001 | confirmed |
| Superiority Russia | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.13 | [-0.25, -0.00] | 0.0436 | confirmed |
| Superiority Russia | feeling thermometer - Russia | + | 247 | 0.64 | [0.56, 0.71] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Superiority [general] | Right Wing Authoritarianism (RWA short scale) | + | 248 | 0.31 | [0.20, 0.42] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Superiority [general] | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | + | 248 | 0.19 | [0.07, 0.31] | 0.0028 | confirmed |
| Superiority [general] | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.28 | [-0.39, -0.16] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Superiority [general] | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.30 | [-0.41, -0.18] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Superiority [general] | feeling thermometer - Russia | + | 247 | 0.62 | [0.53, 0.69] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Threat [general] | Conspiracy Mentality Questionnaire (CMQ; 5-item) | 0 | 248 | 0.37 | [0.25, 0.47] | 0.0000 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Threat [general] | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - Immigrants | + | 248 | 0.54 | [0.44, 0.62] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Threat [general] | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - Immigrants | + | 248 | 0.59 | [0.50, 0.66] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Threat [general] | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - LQBT | + | 248 | 0.62 | [0.54, 0.69] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Threat [general] | Intergroup threat scale (ITT) - LQBT | + | 248 | 0.85 | [0.81, 0.88] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Threat [general] | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | + | 247 | 0.07 | [-0.06, 0.19] | 0.2812 | inconclusive |
| Threat [general] | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.27 | [-0.38, -0.15] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Threat [general] | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.26 | [-0.37, -0.14] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Threat [general] | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.15 | [-0.27, -0.03] | 0.0186 | confirmed |
| Threat [general] | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.28 | [-0.39, -0.16] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Unprotected by international allies | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - EU | - | 248 | -0.32 | [-0.43, -0.20] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Unprotected by international allies | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - Local Authorities | - | 248 | -0.32 | [-0.42, -0.20] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Unprotected by international allies | Institutional trust battery (ESS) - United Nations | - | 248 | -0.27 | [-0.39, -0.15] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Unprotected by international allies | Right Wing Authoritarianism (RWA short scale) | + | 248 | 0.09 | [-0.04, 0.21] | 0.1716 | inconclusive |
| Unprotected by international allies | Right Wing Authoritarianism (RWA short scale) | + | 248 | 0.10 | [-0.02, 0.22] | 0.1072 | inconclusive |
| Unprotected by international allies | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 248 | -0.06 | [-0.18, 0.07] | 0.3572 | equivalence_supported |
| Unprotected by international allies | Trait affectivity (I‑PANAS‑SF) | 0 | 247 | 0.17 | [0.05, 0.29] | 0.0077 | equivalence_inconclusive |
| Unprotected by international allies | feeling thermometer - EU | - | 248 | -0.37 | [-0.48, -0.26] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Unprotected by international allies | feeling thermometer - NATO | - | 248 | -0.34 | [-0.45, -0.22] | 0.0000 | confirmed |
| Source: outputs/tables/s5_validation_results.csv. N = 248. Reproduction code: scripts/policy_report/A-08_s5_verdicts.R. | |||||||
A9 — FIMI variant intercorrelations and reliability
| Annex E.4b — FIMI variant intercorrelations (S2, S4) | |||||
| Pairwise Pearson r between FIMI operationalisations within each study. | |||||
| Study | Variant | Full | Russian | Chinese | Short |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S2 | Chinese | 0.789 | 0.476 | 1.000 | 0.765 |
| S2 | Full | 1.000 | 0.916 | 0.789 | 0.927 |
| S2 | Russian | 0.916 | 1.000 | 0.476 | 0.827 |
| S2 | Short | 0.927 | 0.827 | 0.765 | 1.000 |
| S3 | Chinese | 0.729 | 0.303 | 1.000 | 0.699 |
| S3 | Full | 1.000 | 0.873 | 0.729 | 0.860 |
| S3 | Russian | 0.873 | 1.000 | 0.303 | 0.699 |
| S3 | Short | 0.860 | 0.699 | 0.699 | 1.000 |
| S4 | Chinese | 0.750 | 0.417 | 1.000 | 0.721 |
| S4 | Full | 1.000 | 0.914 | 0.750 | 0.890 |
| S4 | Russian | 0.914 | 1.000 | 0.417 | 0.781 |
| S4 | Short | 0.890 | 0.781 | 0.721 | 1.000 |
| Source: outputs/tables/fimi_s2_s4_version_reliability.csv (top) and outputs/tables/fimi_s2_s4_version_correlations.csv (bottom). Reproduction code: scripts/policy_report/A-09_fimi_variant_diagnostics.R. | |||||
A10 — Glossary
| Annex F — Glossary | |
| Short technical and policy terms used in the report. Cells flagged [DRAFT] require a final cross-check against the methods annex before publication. | |
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| AVE | Average Variance Extracted. Proportion of variance in a construct's indicators captured by the latent factor; ≥ .50 conventional threshold. |
| Chinese-origin FIMI | Mean across `news6`-`news8`. [DRAFT — confirm against item-mapping] |
| Configural invariance | Same factor structure holds across groups; loadings and intercepts free to vary. |
| DG CONNECT | Directorate-General for Communications Networks, Content and Technology — the European Commission service that owns the FIMI / disinformation policy portfolio. |
| DSA | Digital Services Act (Regulation (EU) 2022/2065). Sets risk-assessment obligations under Art. 34/35 and platform-data access under Art. 40 for Very Large Online Platforms (VLOPs). |
| DisInforMeter | The instrument introduced in this report: a 27-item Short scale + 11 first-order belief items + 5 higher-order affective composites measuring population FIMI susceptibility. |
| EDMO | European Digital Media Observatory — the EU's network of independent fact-checking and disinformation-research hubs. |
| FDR | False Discovery Rate (Benjamini–Hochberg). Used here to adjust the p-values of the 174 external-anchor correlations. |
| FIMI | Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference. Coordinated activity by a foreign actor (state or non-state) designed to manipulate the information environment of another country. |
| FIMI Defender | EEAS / StratCom's analytical framework for cataloguing FIMI incidents and attribution. |
| FIMI item | One of the 8 news-headline plausibility ratings (`news1`-`news8`) that constitute the FIMI battery. Higher rating = better detection of manipulation. |
| First-order belief | One of 11 narrower belief sub-dimensions (Exploitation, LGBT+ threat, Immigration, Abandonment by allies / own state / media, Pragmatism toward Russia / China, Superiority of Russia / China, Poisonous ethnocentrism). |
| Full FIMI | Mean across all 8 news items (`news1`-`news8`). |
| Higher-order composite | An affective–cognitive construct (Threat, Betrayal / abandonment, Fear / pragmatism, Foreign-power admiration, General anchor) measured directly in S2-S5 via dedicated items. |
| Marginal r (predictor rank) | Country-specific marginal correlation between a higher-order factor score (metric-invariant) and Full FIMI; bounded in [-1, +1]. Used for the country-snapshot 'top-3 predictors' bar (F-22..F-28). |
| Metric invariance | Loadings are equal across groups (relationships between constructs are comparable). |
| Russian-origin FIMI | Mean across `news1`-`news5`. [DRAFT — confirm against item-mapping] |
| Scalar invariance | Intercepts also equal across groups (absolute means are comparable). |
| Short FIMI | Source-balanced 4-item subset `news2 / news5 / news7 / news8`. |
| VLOP / VLOSE | Very Large Online Platform / Very Large Online Search Engine. Designated under DSA Art. 33 once monthly active EU recipients exceed 45 million. |
| ΔCFI | Change in the Comparative Fit Index between two nested invariance models. ΔCFI ≥ -0.010 supports the more constrained model (Cheung & Rensvold 2002). |
| ω (McDonald's omega) | Composite reliability under the CFA loadings, more appropriate than α when loadings are unequal. |
| Source: Author judgement; cross-checked against methods annex and EU policy documents (EDMO, DSA, EEAS FIMI Defender). Reproduction code: scripts/policy_report/A-10_glossary.R. | |